Scouting Report
Luke Kunin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 50.3% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 55.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kunin 53.5%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Kunin
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kunin
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (305)
45.1% (164)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.0% (2)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (57)
45.2% (31)
-1.3%
On even strength, Kunin has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Kunin shoots right. Girgensons is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Kunin
Girgensons
Home
50.0% (178)
44.6% (92)
Away
50.8% (193)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Kunin
Girgensons
P1
53.0%
44.2%
P2
53.8%
46.0%
P3
44.1%
45.1%
Final 5 min
52.4%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |