Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Horvat wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 54.4% vs Celebrini 48.3% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 87.1%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 88.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 87.2%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Horvat
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Horvat
Celebrini
Last 10: Horvat 4-6 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
5
Horvat
Celebrini
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
5
Horvat
Celebrini
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
5
Horvat
Celebrini
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (12,637)
47.3% (1,880)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (2,711)
54.2% (249)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,497)
55.6% (36)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Horvat is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (10,730).
Horvat shoots left. Celebrini is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Horvat
Celebrini
Home
56.1% (8,401)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
52.9% (8,445)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Horvat
Celebrini
P1
54.1%
47.0%
P2
54.4%
46.5%
P3
55.0%
51.3%
OT
49.6%
47.4%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
66.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:48 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:28 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:11 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |