Christian Dvorak vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dvorak wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 53.3% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 76.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 93.6%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 86.0%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Dvorak
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
Last 10: Dvorak 9-1 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
2
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
0
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
4
1
Dvorak
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (804)
47.5% (979)
+6.7%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
53.6% (110)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (84)
56.0% (25)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Dvorak is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Dvorak shoots left. Celebrini is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Celebrini
Home
53.9% (497)
47.8% (523)
Away
53.3% (522)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Dvorak
Celebrini
P1
54.6%
47.4%
P2
53.2%
46.6%
P3
54.3%
50.8%
OT
34.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
60.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 00:48 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |