Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Macklin Celebrini leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Connor McMichael's faceoff record against Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is 2-6 against Macklin Celebrini in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 0-1, Neutral 1-3.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McMichael or Macklin Celebrini?

Connor McMichael is the predicted winner with a 66.7% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McMichael vs Macklin Celebrini

Connor McMichaelL vs Macklin CelebriniL

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Macklin Celebrini holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.9% vs Celebrini 48.7% (-5.8%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McMichael 60.6%

Defensive zone McMichael 79.4%

Neutral zone McMichael 68.1%

Result Connor McMichael favored at 66.7%

66.7%

33.3%

McMichael Celebrini

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

McMichael Celebrini

Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Celebrini

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

1 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Celebrini

McMichael Celebrini

4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McMichael

Celebrini

Edge

Even Strength

42.9% (408)

47.8% (993)

-4.9%

Power Play

49.1% (55)

54.1% (111)

-5.0%

Penalty Kill

39.0% (105)

56.0% (25)

-17.0%

On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Celebrini shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).

McMichael shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).

Home / Away

McMichael

Celebrini

Home

43.0% (298)

48.5% (538)

Away

42.6% (270)

48.7% (591)

By Period

McMichael

Celebrini

46.6%

48.1%

40.8%

46.8%

41.8%

51.0%

Final 5 min

43.3%

46.1%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McMichael

38.0%▼

45.0%

42.8%

Celebrini

48.0%▲

44.5%

48.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Jan 15, 2026	2	17:58	Defensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	04:29	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	2	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	15:49	Offensive	Macklin Celebrini
Jan 15, 2026	1	12:41	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Jan 15, 2026	1	00:00	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini
Dec 3, 2025	2	19:34	Neutral	Connor McMichael
Dec 3, 2025	2	02:41	Neutral	Macklin Celebrini

McMichael's Profile | Celebrini's Profile