Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Rossi 49.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 53.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.6%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Celebrini
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Celebrini
Rossi
Last 9: Celebrini 6-3 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Rossi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
2
Celebrini
Rossi
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
51.6% (440)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
35.1% (37)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
37.0% (27)
+19.0%
On power play, Celebrini has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Rossi
Home
48.5% (538)
50.0% (260)
Away
48.7% (591)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Celebrini
Rossi
P1
48.1%
53.7%
P2
46.8%
47.6%
P3
51.0%
47.4%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 17:02 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |