Macklin Celebrini vs Mikael Granlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 49.5%). Look for Celebrini on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Granlund 49.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Granlund 74.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 67.2%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Celebrini
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Celebrini
Granlund
Last 9: Celebrini 8-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
1
Celebrini
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
0
Celebrini
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
49.7% (493)
-1.9%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
58.6% (111)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
31.1% (61)
+24.9%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Granlund
Home
48.5% (538)
54.7% (276)
Away
48.7% (591)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Celebrini
Granlund
P1
48.1%
52.2%
P2
46.8%
49.3%
P3
51.0%
47.4%
OT
57.1%
45.5%
Final 5 min
46.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:58 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:03 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |