Macklin Celebrini vs Mitch Marner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Celebrini wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.5% vs Marner 42.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 76.5%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 74.7%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 77.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Celebrini
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Celebrini
Marner
Last 9: Celebrini 6-3 Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marner
1
2
Celebrini
Marner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
1
Celebrini
Marner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (1,894)
41.7% (496)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.4% (250)
55.6% (18)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (36)
35.4% (65)
+20.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (694).
Celebrini shoots left. Marner is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Marner
Home
48.0% (1,091)
38.0% (321)
Away
48.9% (1,089)
45.7% (258)
By Period
Celebrini
Marner
P1
47.4%
38.7%
P2
46.6%
41.5%
P3
51.4%
45.5%
OT
47.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Marner
40.0%▼
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Mitch Marner |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 02:13 | Defensive | Mitch Marner |