Macklin Celebrini vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Frost 56.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 89.9%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 84.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 84.5%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Celebrini
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Celebrini
Frost
Last 10: Celebrini 1-9 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
1
5
Celebrini
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Celebrini
Frost
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
3
Celebrini
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (979)
55.8% (745)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.6% (110)
60.5% (172)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
88.9% (9)
-32.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Celebrini is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Celebrini shoots left. Frost is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Frost
Home
47.8% (523)
57.3% (497)
Away
48.7% (591)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Celebrini
Frost
P1
47.4%
60.1%
P2
46.6%
56.0%
P3
50.8%
54.7%
OT
57.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
45.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
62.0%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 15:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |