Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 54.9%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 59.2%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 55.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Celebrini
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Celebrini
Suzuki
Last 10: Celebrini 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
2
Celebrini
Suzuki
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Celebrini
Suzuki
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
2
Celebrini
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
51.3% (945)
-3.5%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
50.7% (282)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
40.3% (67)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Celebrini is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Celebrini shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Suzuki
Home
48.5% (538)
51.0% (637)
Away
48.7% (591)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Celebrini
Suzuki
P1
48.1%
53.1%
P2
46.8%
47.4%
P3
51.0%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:38 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |