Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Greig 51.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 67.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 82.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 53.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Celebrini
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Celebrini
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
51.9% (347)
-4.1%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
66.7% (24)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
44.8% (87)
+11.2%
On power play, Greig has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Greig
Home
48.5% (538)
50.4% (254)
Away
48.7% (591)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Celebrini
Greig
P1
48.1%
45.9%
P2
46.8%
60.1%
P3
51.0%
49.2%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |