Macklin Celebrini vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Thomas 51.9% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 54.5%
Defensive zone
Thomas 74.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 69.7%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Celebrini
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Celebrini
Thomas
Last 8: Celebrini 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
3
1
Celebrini
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Celebrini
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
50.3% (652)
-2.5%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
61.5% (104)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
54.2% (120)
+1.8%
On power play, Thomas has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Celebrini is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Celebrini shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Thomas
Home
48.5% (538)
52.0% (400)
Away
48.7% (591)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Celebrini
Thomas
P1
48.1%
49.6%
P2
46.8%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
51.0%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
46.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:27 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |