Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Pinto 51.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 65.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 86.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 52.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Celebrini
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Celebrini
Pinto
Last 10: Celebrini 6-4 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
0
Celebrini
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Celebrini
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
2
Celebrini
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
50.5% (556)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
68.0% (25)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
51.1% (94)
+4.9%
On power play, Pinto has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Celebrini is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Celebrini shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Pinto
Home
48.5% (538)
50.0% (310)
Away
48.7% (591)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Celebrini
Pinto
P1
48.1%
51.8%
P2
46.8%
49.8%
P3
51.0%
53.1%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 13:17 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:46 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |