Macklin Celebrini vs William Karlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Celebrini 48.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-9.0%)
H2H factor Karlsson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Celebrini 67.1%
Defensive zone Karlsson 65.2%
Neutral zone Celebrini 56.6%
Result Macklin Celebrini favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Celebrini Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Celebrini Karlsson
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini Karlsson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Celebrini
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
58.5% (135)
-10.7%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
80.0% (5)
-25.9%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
44.4% (18)
+11.6%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Karlsson
Home
48.5% (538)
63.7% (91)
Away
48.7% (591)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Celebrini
Karlsson
P1
48.1%
54.4%
P2
46.8%
66.7%
P3
51.0%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%
44.5%
48.6%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
57.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 9, 2025 3 17:21 Neutral Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 3 11:10 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 3 01:49 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 2 08:19 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 2 02:23 Neutral William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 18:43 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 09:00 Defensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 06:28 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 1 03:33 Defensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 00:51 Offensive Macklin Celebrini