Macklin Celebrini vs William Karlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Celebrini 49.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-8.3%)
H2H factor Karlsson leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Celebrini 62.2%
Defensive zone Karlsson 61.4%
Neutral zone Celebrini 56.1%
Result Macklin Celebrini favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Celebrini Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 5 (10 meetings)
5
5
Celebrini Karlsson
Last 10: Celebrini 5-5 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Celebrini Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Celebrini Karlsson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Celebrini
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (717)
58.5% (135)
-10.2%
Power Play
54.9% (91)
80.0% (5)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
61.9% (21)
44.4% (18)
+17.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +25.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Celebrini shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Karlsson
Home
47.3% (412)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.3% (417)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Celebrini
Karlsson
P1
45.6%
54.4%
P2
50.9%
66.7%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
54.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
44.0%
52.5%
49.3%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
57.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Oct 9, 2025 3 17:21 Neutral Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 3 11:10 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 3 01:49 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 2 08:19 Offensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 2 02:23 Neutral William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 18:43 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 09:00 Defensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 06:28 Defensive Macklin Celebrini
Oct 9, 2025 1 03:33 Defensive William Karlsson
Oct 9, 2025 1 00:51 Offensive Macklin Celebrini