Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rakell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Goc 52.3% vs Rakell 44.8% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Goc 55.2%
Defensive zone
Goc 92.4%
Neutral zone
Goc 75.2%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Goc
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Goc
Rakell
Last 8: Goc 5-3 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
Goc
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
0
Goc
Rakell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Goc
2
1
Goc
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Goc
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (3,301)
44.2% (1,886)
+8.8%
Power Play
58.0% (314)
50.2% (203)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (728)
21.7% (23)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Goc has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Goc is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,607).
Goc shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,344).
Home / Away
Goc
Rakell
Home
53.9% (2,079)
46.6% (1,055)
Away
51.0% (2,296)
42.4% (1,058)
By Period
Goc
Rakell
P1
51.9%
45.6%
P2
53.1%
41.9%
P3
52.4%
46.1%
OT
44.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Rakell
38.0%▲
35.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 09:47 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 7, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |