Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Jankowski 53.1% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 69.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 53.9%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 66.2%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kasper
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kasper
Jankowski
Last 8: Kasper 5-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Kasper
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
53.7% (555)
-2.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.0% (14)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
54.3% (46)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Jankowski is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Kasper
Jankowski
Home
51.5% (194)
53.2% (331)
Away
48.5% (200)
54.2% (284)
By Period
Kasper
Jankowski
P1
54.1%
52.7%
P2
52.1%
55.8%
P3
43.4%
52.5%
Final 5 min
42.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |