Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jankowski 55.8%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 74.5%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 65.3%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Kasper
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kasper
Jankowski
Last 9: Kasper 6-3 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Kasper
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Jankowski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Jankowski
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
51.5% (3,490)
-4.3%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
53.7% (95)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
42.7% (534)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Jankowski is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,549).
Home / Away
Kasper
Jankowski
Home
49.4% (474)
51.8% (1,961)
Away
44.2% (554)
49.1% (2,158)
By Period
Kasper
Jankowski
P1
48.0%
49.8%
P2
51.0%
51.1%
P3
40.2%
50.3%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Jankowski
52.0%▲
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:18 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:38 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |