Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs McTavish 49.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McTavish 63.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 60.2%
Neutral zone
McTavish 58.5%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Kasper
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
McTavish
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kasper
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
47.6% (617)
+3.8%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
57.8% (102)
-24.5%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
33.3% (6)
-1.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Kasper
McTavish
Home
51.5% (194)
52.2% (389)
Away
48.5% (200)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Kasper
McTavish
P1
54.1%
50.2%
P2
52.1%
47.9%
P3
43.4%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |