Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs McTavish 48.7% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 57.2%
Defensive zone
Kasper 62.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 57.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Kasper
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kasper
McTavish
Last 5: Kasper 1-4 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kasper
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Kasper
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
48.2% (2,790)
-1.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
52.8% (436)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
34.3% (35)
-3.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Kasper
McTavish
Home
49.4% (474)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
44.2% (554)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Kasper
McTavish
P1
48.0%
50.0%
P2
51.0%
47.7%
P3
40.2%
48.4%
OT
66.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 31, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |