Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Coronato 42.2% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kasper 94.3%
Neutral zone
Kasper 83.1%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Kasper
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kasper
Coronato
Last 5: Kasper 5-0 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
0
Kasper
Coronato
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
38.2% (262)
+9.0%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
47.1% (70)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
0.0% (2)
+30.6%
On penalty kill, Kasper has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kasper shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Kasper
Coronato
Home
49.4% (474)
39.8% (176)
Away
44.2% (554)
39.9% (158)
By Period
Kasper
Coronato
P1
48.0%
41.9%
P2
51.0%
37.6%
P3
40.2%
38.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 06:37 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 2 | 01:03 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |