Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.6% vs Geekie 48.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 52.6%
Defensive zone
Kasper 50.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 54.0%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Kasper
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kasper
Geekie
Last 10: Kasper 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (878)
48.7% (2,289)
-2.0%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
45.9% (183)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
29.2% (24)
45.7% (129)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Kasper is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Kasper shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Kasper
Geekie
Home
49.2% (437)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
43.6% (495)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Kasper
Geekie
P1
47.8%
48.4%
P2
51.2%
48.9%
P3
38.9%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
46.2%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |