Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Geekie 48.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 58.6%
Defensive zone
Geekie 52.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 50.1%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Kasper
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Kasper
Geekie
Last 10: Kasper 6-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
3
2
Kasper
Geekie
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Geekie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
48.7% (2,310)
-1.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
46.0% (189)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
45.7% (129)
-15.1%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kasper shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Kasper
Geekie
Home
49.4% (474)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
44.2% (554)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Kasper
Geekie
P1
48.0%
48.6%
P2
51.0%
48.9%
P3
40.2%
47.7%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:53 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 02:01 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |