Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Sturm 53.6% (-4.6%)
Offensive zone
Kasper 70.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 68.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 50.7%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Kasper
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
54.6% (271)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
54.4% (90)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kasper
Sturm
Home
51.5% (194)
53.0% (168)
Away
48.5% (200)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Kasper
Sturm
P1
54.1%
58.2%
P2
52.1%
53.2%
P3
43.4%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%