Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Acciari 51.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 51.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 67.4%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Kasper
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kasper
Acciari
Last 6: Kasper 5-1 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
52.8% (3,304)
-5.6%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
48.3% (87)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
47.0% (1,073)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kasper shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,268).
Home / Away
Kasper
Acciari
Home
49.4% (474)
51.9% (2,139)
Away
44.2% (554)
50.7% (2,325)
By Period
Kasper
Acciari
P1
48.0%
52.3%
P2
51.0%
51.5%
P3
40.2%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:27 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |