Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Zacha 49.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 73.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 67.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 69.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Kasper
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kasper
Zacha
Last 8: Kasper 6-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kasper
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
48.9% (5,156)
-1.7%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
55.7% (813)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
42.2% (557)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Kasper
Zacha
Home
49.4% (474)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
44.2% (554)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Kasper
Zacha
P1
48.0%
49.9%
P2
51.0%
49.2%
P3
40.2%
48.2%
OT
66.7%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |