Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Holmberg 45.4% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 64.7%
Defensive zone
Kasper 81.1%
Neutral zone
Kasper 58.6%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 81.1%
81.1%
18.9%
Kasper
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
36.7% (49)
+14.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
50.0% (2)
-18.4%
On power play, Kasper has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Holmberg is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (39).
Home / Away
Kasper
Holmberg
Home
51.5% (194)
33.3% (36)
Away
48.5% (200)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Kasper
Holmberg
P1
54.1%
62.5%
P2
52.1%
20.0%
P3
43.4%
31.3%
Final 5 min
42.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Holmberg
36.0%▼
45.5%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |