Marco Kasper vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 56.2%
Defensive zone
Kasper 69.4%
Neutral zone
Kasper 57.0%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
46.0% (250)
+5.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
70.6% (17)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
31.8% (22)
-0.2%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.5% (194)
50.3% (175)
Away
48.5% (200)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
54.1%
48.5%
P2
52.1%
45.9%
P3
43.4%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |