Marco Kasper vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 55.1%
Defensive zone
Kasper 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kasper 56.5%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
0
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
44.8% (8,775)
+2.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
50.6% (844)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
37.8% (880)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.4% (474)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
44.2% (554)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Kasper
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.0%
45.1%
P2
51.0%
43.9%
P3
40.2%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
40.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |