Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Poehling 48.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 75.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 65.5%
34.5%
65.5%
Kasper
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kasper
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
50.4% (680)
+1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
58.3% (12)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
38.8% (219)
-7.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Kasper
Poehling
Home
51.5% (194)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.5% (200)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Kasper
Poehling
P1
54.1%
53.3%
P2
52.1%
40.3%
P3
43.4%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |