Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kasper 79.7%
Neutral zone
Kasper 78.9%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Kasper
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kasper
Couturier
Last 6: Kasper 1-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Kasper
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kasper
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
52.5% (11,097)
-5.3%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
59.7% (1,280)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
48.5% (1,823)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,936).
Home / Away
Kasper
Couturier
Home
49.4% (474)
53.4% (7,171)
Away
44.2% (554)
51.8% (7,036)
By Period
Kasper
Couturier
P1
48.0%
52.6%
P2
51.0%
52.6%
P3
40.2%
52.9%
OT
66.7%
49.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |