Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kasper wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Pinto 50.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Kasper leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Pinto 58.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 84.5%
Neutral zone
Pinto 68.2%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Kasper
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Kasper
Pinto
Last 10: Kasper 7-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
6
0
Kasper
Pinto
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Kasper
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
50.7% (2,752)
-3.5%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
54.4% (90)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
45.6% (239)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Kasper is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (345).
Kasper shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Kasper
Pinto
Home
49.4% (474)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
44.2% (554)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Kasper
Pinto
P1
48.0%
48.4%
P2
51.0%
51.9%
P3
40.2%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 12:25 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |