Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stützle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Stützle 45.7% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stützle 55.3%
Neutral zone
Stützle 57.1%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kasper
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kasper
Stützle
Last 8: Kasper 3-5 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
1
3
Kasper
Stützle
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
45.1% (2,308)
+2.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
54.9% (102)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
47.7% (88)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,500).
Home / Away
Kasper
Stützle
Home
49.4% (474)
47.5% (1,285)
Away
44.2% (554)
43.4% (1,213)
By Period
Kasper
Stützle
P1
48.0%
47.0%
P2
51.0%
45.3%
P3
40.2%
44.2%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
40.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 10, 2025 | 1 | 04:53 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Tim Stützle |