Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 67.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kasper 55.4%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Kasper
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kasper
Nosek
Last 5: Kasper 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
3
Kasper
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
54.9% (2,710)
-7.7%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
45.8% (48)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
47.2% (428)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nosek
Home
49.4% (474)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
44.2% (554)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Kasper
Nosek
P1
48.0%
52.2%
P2
51.0%
54.1%
P3
40.2%
54.7%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |