Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.6% vs Nosek 53.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kasper 57.6%
Neutral zone
Kasper 64.7%
Result
Marco Kasper favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Kasper
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kasper
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Kasper
Nosek
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Kasper
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (878)
55.0% (2,608)
-8.3%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
43.5% (46)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
29.2% (24)
48.6% (397)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kasper is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kasper shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Kasper
Nosek
Home
49.2% (437)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
43.6% (495)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Kasper
Nosek
P1
47.8%
52.5%
P2
51.2%
54.7%
P3
38.9%
54.6%
OT
66.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
46.2%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 12:52 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |