Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Kasper wins 42.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 46.9% vs Kozak 48.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 70.3%
Defensive zone
Kozak 63.9%
Neutral zone
Kasper 51.3%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Kasper
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kasper
Kozak
Last 7: Kasper 3-4 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
2
Kasper
Kozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kasper
Kozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (960)
48.3% (431)
-1.1%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
62.5% (8)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (36)
48.9% (45)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Kasper shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kozak
Home
49.4% (474)
47.6% (229)
Away
44.2% (554)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Kasper
Kozak
P1
48.0%
54.4%
P2
51.0%
45.7%
P3
40.2%
45.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:51 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:36 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |