Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.9%
Defensive zone
Rossi 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Rossi
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Rossi
Scheifele
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Scheifele
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Rossi
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
46.5% (919)
+5.1%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
48.7% (187)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (54)
-13.0%
On power play, Scheifele has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Rossi
Scheifele
Home
50.0% (260)
46.6% (605)
Away
49.2% (244)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Rossi
Scheifele
P1
53.7%
52.3%
P2
47.6%
45.3%
P3
47.4%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
44.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:55 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |