Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 48.7%). Look for Beniers on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Beniers 48.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Beniers leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Beniers 54.1%
Defensive zone
Beniers 54.1%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.2%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Rossi
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Rossi
Beniers
Last 10: Rossi 5-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Rossi
Beniers
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Beniers
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
2
5
Rossi
Beniers
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
48.3% (862)
+3.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
58.3% (36)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
50.0% (32)
-13.0%
On power play, Beniers has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Beniers is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (634).
Home / Away
Rossi
Beniers
Home
50.0% (260)
52.4% (460)
Away
49.2% (244)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Rossi
Beniers
P1
53.7%
47.5%
P2
47.6%
50.6%
P3
47.4%
47.6%
OT
40.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |