Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs McCarron 52.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 85.4%
Defensive zone
McCarron 73.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Rossi
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Rossi
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Rossi
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Rossi
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
52.8% (697)
-1.2%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
18.2% (11)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
52.6% (211)
-15.6%
On power play, Rossi has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Rossi
McCarron
Home
50.0% (260)
52.8% (477)
Away
49.2% (244)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Rossi
McCarron
P1
53.7%
56.2%
P2
47.6%
52.4%
P3
47.4%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |