Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.2% vs Barron 46.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 77.3%
Defensive zone
Barron 87.4%
Neutral zone
Barron 60.2%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Rossi
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rossi
Barron
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
3
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (428)
48.6% (381)
+3.7%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
33.3% (3)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
41.7% (187)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Rossi is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Rossi shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Rossi
Barron
Home
50.0% (260)
44.4% (306)
Away
50.4% (232)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Rossi
Barron
P1
55.0%
45.5%
P2
47.9%
49.8%
P3
47.7%
43.1%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.2%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |