Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Barron 48.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 76.6%
Defensive zone
Barron 75.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Rossi
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Rossi
Barron
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
3
1
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
4
Rossi
Barron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
2
Rossi
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
49.4% (741)
-2.6%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
50.0% (6)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
42.3% (222)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Barron has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Barron is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Rossi
Barron
Home
47.8% (1,225)
45.2% (480)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
50.3% (489)
By Period
Rossi
Barron
P1
47.1%
48.0%
P2
44.7%
50.7%
P3
48.2%
44.7%
OT
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 14:37 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:49 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |