Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.5% vs Geekie 48.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 54.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 53.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 56.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Rossi
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rossi
Geekie
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
4
Rossi
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (2,023)
48.7% (2,289)
-2.1%
Power Play
47.6% (185)
45.9% (183)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
45.7% (129)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Rossi is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (797).
Rossi shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Rossi
Geekie
Home
47.1% (1,122)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
45.6% (1,129)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Rossi
Geekie
P1
47.0%
48.4%
P2
44.5%
48.9%
P3
47.6%
47.5%
OT
47.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |