Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Geekie 48.5% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 54.7%
Defensive zone
Geekie 50.5%
Neutral zone
Rossi 57.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Rossi
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Rossi
Geekie
Last 10: Rossi 4-6 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
4
Rossi
Geekie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
48.7% (2,310)
-1.9%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
46.0% (189)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
45.7% (129)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Geekie is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,927).
Home / Away
Rossi
Geekie
Home
47.8% (1,225)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Rossi
Geekie
P1
47.1%
48.6%
P2
44.7%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
47.7%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:22 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 14:22 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |