Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.7%
Defensive zone
Rossi 62.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Rossi
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
49.7% (1,038)
+1.9%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
63.7% (157)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
34.4% (32)
+2.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Rossi
MacKinnon
Home
50.0% (260)
53.1% (618)
Away
49.2% (244)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Rossi
MacKinnon
P1
53.7%
49.3%
P2
47.6%
53.0%
P3
47.4%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%