Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 67.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Rossi
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rossi
Bonino
Last 6: Rossi 3-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
0
Rossi
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Rossi
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Rossi
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.8%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
54.1% (972)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
44.6% (1,693)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Rossi
Bonino
Home
47.8% (1,225)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Rossi
Bonino
P1
47.1%
50.6%
P2
44.7%
48.5%
P3
48.2%
51.1%
OT
45.8%
45.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 1 | 09:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |