Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Paul 53.6% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 57.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 53.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 60.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Rossi
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rossi
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Rossi
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
53.7% (354)
-2.1%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
59.0% (61)
-23.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
52.9% (34)
-15.9%
On power play, Paul has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Rossi
Paul
Home
50.0% (260)
55.1% (216)
Away
49.2% (244)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Rossi
Paul
P1
53.7%
54.9%
P2
47.6%
54.5%
P3
47.4%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |