Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 59.1%
Defensive zone
Rossi 73.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 64.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rossi
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
40.5% (190)
+11.1%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
42.9% (14)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
30.0% (10)
+7.0%
On even strength, Rossi has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Rossi
Buchnevich
Home
50.0% (260)
40.7% (118)
Away
49.2% (244)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Rossi
Buchnevich
P1
53.7%
42.3%
P2
47.6%
37.5%
P3
47.4%
40.3%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |