Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 47.1% vs Dubois 49.7% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 57.0%
Defensive zone
Dubois 51.2%
Neutral zone
Rossi 55.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Rossi
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Rossi
Dubois
Last 9: Rossi 2-7 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Rossi
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
3
Rossi
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Rossi
Dubois
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (879)
49.8% (1,064)
-3.3%
Power Play
48.6% (105)
46.3% (67)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
53.3% (30)
-3.3%
On even strength, Dubois has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Rossi is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Rossi shoots left. Dubois is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Rossi
Dubois
Home
47.5% (520)
48.3% (582)
Away
46.0% (472)
51.1% (579)
By Period
Rossi
Dubois
P1
47.8%
52.0%
P2
44.2%
49.9%
P3
48.7%
46.9%
OT
45.5%
64.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.8%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:06 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |