Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Thomas 51.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 61.5%
Neutral zone
Thomas 61.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Rossi
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rossi
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
50.3% (652)
+1.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
61.5% (104)
-26.4%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
54.2% (120)
-17.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Rossi
Thomas
Home
50.0% (260)
52.0% (400)
Away
49.2% (244)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Rossi
Thomas
P1
53.7%
49.6%
P2
47.6%
55.4%
P3
47.4%
51.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |