Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Colton 51.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 68.4%
Defensive zone
Rossi 66.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 65.6%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Rossi
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Rossi
Colton
Last 8: Rossi 2-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Rossi
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
4
Rossi
Colton
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rossi
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
51.6% (1,803)
-4.8%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
48.8% (162)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
34.5% (29)
-0.4%
On even strength, Colton has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Rossi shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Rossi
Colton
Home
47.8% (1,225)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Rossi
Colton
P1
47.1%
53.7%
P2
44.7%
52.6%
P3
48.2%
47.9%
OT
45.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |