Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Couturier 53.6% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 79.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.8%
Neutral zone
Rossi 67.2%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Rossi
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
9
(15 meetings)
6
9
Rossi
Couturier
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
Couturier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
4
Rossi
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Rossi
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
53.9% (792)
-2.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
62.9% (70)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
51.3% (234)
-14.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Rossi
Couturier
Home
50.0% (260)
51.4% (541)
Away
49.2% (244)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Rossi
Couturier
P1
53.7%
56.0%
P2
47.6%
52.6%
P3
47.4%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
44.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |