Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Monahan 52.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 65.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 63.6%
Neutral zone
Rossi 64.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Rossi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Rossi
Monahan
Last 10: Rossi 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Rossi
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Rossi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Rossi
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
53.0% (874)
-1.4%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
54.7% (161)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
47.5% (101)
-10.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Rossi
Monahan
Home
50.0% (260)
53.8% (558)
Away
49.2% (244)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Rossi
Monahan
P1
53.7%
49.5%
P2
47.6%
54.8%
P3
47.4%
52.8%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
44.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |