Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Wright 41.4% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 72.3%
Defensive zone
Wright 77.5%
Neutral zone
Wright 76.5%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Rossi
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rossi
Wright
Last 7: Rossi 1-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Rossi
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
39.7% (461)
+11.9%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
41.0% (61)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Rossi is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Rossi shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Home / Away
Rossi
Wright
Home
50.0% (260)
39.5% (286)
Away
49.2% (244)
40.1% (237)
By Period
Rossi
Wright
P1
53.7%
40.2%
P2
47.6%
36.7%
P3
47.4%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |