Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 64.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 61.8%
Neutral zone
Wright 64.2%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Rossi
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Rossi
Wright
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
4
2
Rossi
Wright
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
1
4
Rossi
Wright
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
42.7% (1,326)
+4.1%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
45.1% (133)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
33.3% (6)
+0.8%
On even strength, Rossi has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Rossi
Wright
Home
47.8% (1,225)
44.2% (746)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
41.4% (719)
By Period
Rossi
Wright
P1
47.1%
44.5%
P2
44.7%
40.5%
P3
48.2%
44.0%
OT
45.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:49 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |