Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rossi wins 43.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.8% vs Lewis 43.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 62.9%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.2%
Neutral zone
Lewis 59.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Rossi
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Rossi
Lewis
Last 9: Rossi 3-6 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
2
1
Rossi
Lewis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Rossi
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
3
Rossi
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (2,180)
43.2% (2,347)
+3.6%
Power Play
47.1% (189)
51.9% (108)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
38.6% (365)
-4.5%
On power play, Lewis has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Rossi is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Rossi shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Rossi
Lewis
Home
47.8% (1,225)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
45.4% (1,188)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Rossi
Lewis
P1
47.1%
42.8%
P2
44.7%
43.9%
P3
48.2%
41.9%
OT
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:46 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |